trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | +106.1% | +86.5% | 33% | 33% | +59.2% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +106.1% | +86.5% | 33% | 33% | +59.2% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +106.1% | +86.5% | 33% | 33% | +59.2% |
| all | 15 | +106.1% | +86.5% | 33% | 33% | +59.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +86.5% | 33% | +59.2% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +68.6% | 33% | +44.0% |
| 15% | +52.4% | 33% | +30.1% |
| 20% | +37.4% | 33% | +17.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 21¢ | 16¢ | $14 | $11 | −$3 (-20%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: New Zealand (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $2 | −$1 | -37% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $4 | +$14 | +344% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $4 | +$14 | +340% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $6 | −$6 | -97% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$45 | +870% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $56 | −$26 | -47% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $4 | −$4 | -97% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-1 | Jun 15 | $5 | +$26 | +502% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $3 | +$15 | +473% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $6 | −$6 | -97% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |