trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 5 | -40.2% | -45.9% | 20% | 20% | -74.4% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -40.2% | -45.9% | 20% | 20% | -74.4% |
| all | 12 | -50.5% | -55.2% | 17% | 17% | -70.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -55.2% | 17% | -70.4% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -59.5% | 17% | -73.2% |
| 15% | -63.4% | 17% | -75.8% |
| 20% | -67.0% | 17% | -78.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 55¢ | 46¢ | $42,390 | $35,068 | −$7,322 (-17%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 15 | $9,883 | −$9,740 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $20,341 | −$20,005 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $977 | +$1,521 | +156% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $49,886 | −$28,368 | -57% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $6,230 | −$5,512 | -88% |
| Will George Santos attend the 2026 State of the Union address? | Feb 25 | $7,150 | −$6,862 | -96% |
| Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Feb 09 | $10,862 | −$10,862 | -100% |
| Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime sho | Feb 09 | $5,167 | +$2,899 | +56% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Jan 13 | $5,000 | −$1,466 | -29% |
| Commanders vs. Eagles | Jan 05 | $1,000 | −$998 | -100% |
| Seahawks vs. 49ers | Jan 04 | $500 | −$156 | -31% |
| Maduro mugshot released by Monday? | Jan 04 | $684 | −$684 | -100% |