Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T00:54:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
91 0x9123…3b32 crypto 86 markets active 5d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (406 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$11 (-3%) realized −$11 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate35%30W / 56L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day406.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 91% −$25
weather 9% −$2
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (406 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 86 -5.2% -14.3% 35% 29% -17.0%
≤30d 86 -5.2% -14.3% 35% 29% -17.0%
≤90d 86 -5.2% -14.3% 35% 29% -17.0%
all 86 -5.2% -14.3% 35% 29% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover406.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.3% 29% -17.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 21% -25.0%
15% -30.0% 14% -32.2%
20% -36.8% 12% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 29% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
17% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late -13% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×1.09 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.58 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses30 / 56
Open positions0
Markets (closed)86 / 86
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day406.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 86 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +35%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -25%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -43%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 -3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +88%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 13? Jun 12 $1 $0 -7%
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 13? Jun 12 $1 $0 -8%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju Jun 12 $1 $0 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13? Jun 12 $1 $0 -26%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 14? Jun 12 $1 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? Jun 12 $1 $0 -8%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14? Jun 12 $1 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 14? Jun 12 $1 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 13? Jun 12 $1 $0 -9%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14? Jun 12 $1 $0 -12%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 13? Jun 12 $1 $0 -8%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 -20%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 12 $1 $0 -4%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 13? Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 14? Jun 12 $1 $0 -17%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 14? Jun 12 $2 $0 -4%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 14? Jun 12 $1 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13? Jun 12 $1 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 14? Jun 12 $1 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 14? Jun 12 $2 $0 -4%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 14? Jun 12 $1 $0 -40%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 13? Jun 12 $1 $0 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$19 -44%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$6 +74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -17%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 8¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 444 history records