Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T09:51:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
91 0x912a…3326 crypto 1640 markets active 17h ago coverage 119d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 119d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$1 (+0%) realized +$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR15%break-even
Win rate91%1501W / 141L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day15.3pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$6
14 days−$12
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$3
sports 0% $0
other 0% −$6
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 234 +0.3% -9.3% 87% 39% -10.5%
≤30d 300 -1.3% -10.7% 86% 48% -11.2%
≤90d 995 +0.3% -9.3% 92% 21% -9.5%
all 1642 +0.2% -9.4% 91% 15% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover15.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 15% -9.7%
10% -18.0% 2% -18.3%
15% -25.9% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
83% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.09 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

119d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses1501 / 141
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1642 / 1640
History coverage119d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day15.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1642 Trades
no open positions (77 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 20 $4 −$4 -100%
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Amaru Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 19 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 19 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 19 $4 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 19 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 19 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 19 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 19 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 19 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 19 $4 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 19 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 19 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 19 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 19 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 19 $7 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 18 $4 +$1 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Amaru Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY PlayTime 93¢ $3 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $4 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $3 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records