Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:33:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x9136…49c2
crypto · 1307 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$15 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 0 History 1307 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Up 100¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 97¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 88¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 99¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 99¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 99¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 96¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 99¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 99¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 99¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 98¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 97¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 99¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 99¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 96¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 94¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 99¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 99¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 99¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 95¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 12AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6PM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 5PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 8AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2AM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 03 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 01 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET May 29 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET May 29 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4PM ET May 27 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9AM ET May 22 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET May 21 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET May 21 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET May 19 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET May 19 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET May 18 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET May 18 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET May 18 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET May 16 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET May 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET May 14 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12PM ET May 14 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET May 14 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET May 14 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12PM ET May 14 $2 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$15
other 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 12AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 5PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 8AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 7d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 +0.5% -9.0% 100% 0% -9.1%
≤30d 64 +0.5% -9.1% 100% 0% -9.1%
≤90d 1307 -0.6% -10.0% 98% 0% -10.0%
all 1307 -0.6% -10.0% 98% 0% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.0% 0% -10.0%
10% -18.6% 0% -18.6%
15% -26.5% 0% -26.5%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.00 · official $4.00 (match) · 2594 history records