trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | -40.4% | -46.1% | 14% | 14% | -54.5% |
| ≤30d | 20 | +54.7% | +40.0% | 20% | 20% | +39.4% |
| ≤90d | 20 | +54.7% | +40.0% | 20% | 20% | +39.4% |
| all | 20 | +54.7% | +40.0% | 20% | 20% | +39.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +40.0% | 20% | +39.4% |
| 10% | +26.6% | 20% | +26.0% |
| 15% | +14.4% | 20% | +13.9% |
| 20% | +3.2% | 20% | +2.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $30 | $34 | +$4 (+15%) |
| Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Yes | 21¢ | 14¢ | $2 | $1 | −$1 (-36%) |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 12¢ | 4¢ | $2 | $1 | −$1 (-70%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $8 | −$8 | -97% |
| Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $2 | −$1 | -48% |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $15 | −$8 | -51% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $6 | −$4 | -66% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $3 | +$10 | +346% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $3 | +$4 | +142% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $2 | −$1 | -72% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: Draw at halftime? | Jun 17 | $3 | −$2 | -83% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $9 | −$3 | -34% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $4 | $0 | -9% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $4 | +$10 | +238% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$77 | +1666% |