Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:25:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x913f…c676
other · 84 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$18,118 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$16,920 · open +$1,217
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$29,346
Realized+$16,920
Unrealized+$1,217
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses64 / 22
Whale WR (big bets)86%
Open positions5
Markets (closed)86 / 84
Avg bet$8,217
Trades / day156.2
Drawdown59%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 5 History 86 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,059
7 days+$4,826
14 days−$11,467
30 days+$16,920
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? No 92¢ 96¢ $15,951 $16,731 +$780 (+5%)
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? No 91¢ 95¢ $8,975 $9,379 +$404 (+5%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? No 87¢ 74¢ $1,966 $1,685 −$281 (-14%)
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? No 97¢ 99¢ $1,002 $1,030 +$28 (+3%)
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? No 90¢ 89¢ $449 $444 −$5 (-1%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 22¢ 26¢ $67 $76 +$9 (+14%)
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? No 63¢ 0¢ $139 $0 −$139 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Yes 85¢ 0¢ $1,771 $0 −$1,771 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? No 78¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026? No 30¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? No 3¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? No 69¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? No 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? No 33¢ 0¢ $288 $0 −$288 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Jun 12 $139 −$139 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026? Jun 12 $91 −$91 -100%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026? Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Jun 12 $52 −$61 -117%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$182 -30049%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $13,559 −$3 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 12 $10,299 +$41 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 12 $21,603 +$1,623 +8%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 12 $7,096 +$83 +1%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 12 $239 +$17 +7%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $3,172 +$331 +10%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $14,255 +$383 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $10,319 +$150 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $4,156 +$89 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $224 +$156 +70%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 09 $99 +$4 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $445 +$110 +25%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 08 $484 +$10 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $13,146 +$428 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $1,953 +$91 +5%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $10,335 +$287 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 08 $1,304 +$79 +6%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $17,878 +$153 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $3,829 +$38 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $3,371 −$251 -7%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $4,561 +$826 +18%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $6,871 +$594 +9%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $11,946 +$154 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $19 −$19 -97%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $196 −$95 -48%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $22,449 +$262 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $112 −$12 -10%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $19,075 +$337 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $578 +$12 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $18,126 −$11,741 -65%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $2,131 −$1,856 -87%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $2,988 +$802 +27%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? Jun 02 $3,684 +$24 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 01 $19,274 +$151 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? Jun 01 $1,604 +$10 +1%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? Jun 01 $9,369 +$256 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026? Jun 01 $9,889 +$596 +6%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? Jun 01 $1,688 +$5 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 01 $718 −$10 -1%
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026? Jun 01 $667 −$132 -20%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? Jun 01 $2,274 +$35 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026? Jun 01 $10,572 +$112 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? May 31 $24,839 +$129 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$18,705
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 75¢ $150 1h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $483 2h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $57 2h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $193 2h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $1,316 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 23¢ $24 2h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $15 2h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $23 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $10 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $0 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 2h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $58 2h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $96 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $0 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $2 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $0 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $0 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $31 2h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $862 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 80¢ $134 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 80¢ $1 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 80¢ $7 2h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $413 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 80¢ $8 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 80¢ $10 2h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 95¢ $103 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 81¢ $4 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 81¢ $2 2h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 95¢ $29 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-3.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -17.6% -25.4% 70% 10% -6.7%
≤30d 86 +7.2% -3.0% 74% 9% -6.3%
≤90d 86 +7.2% -3.0% 74% 9% -6.3%
all 86 +7.2% -3.0% 74% 9% -6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover156.2 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.0% 9% -6.3%
10% -12.3% 5% -15.3%
15% ← realistic here -20.8% 3% -23.5%
20% -28.5% 3% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29,345.74 · official $29,345.74 (match) · 3500 history records