trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 46¢ | 46¢ | $12 | $12 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | Up | 46¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 53¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | Jun 12 | $2 | +$1 | +44% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | Jun 12 | $3 | +$1 | +16% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +11% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $11 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$9 | +172% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | Jun 09 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | Jun 09 | $2 | $0 | -20% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | Jun 09 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | Jun 09 | $2 | $0 | +18% |
| Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | Jun 09 | $2 | −$1 | -38% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | Jun 09 | $1 | $0 | +23% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -6.5% | -15.4% | 50% | 50% | +1.2% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -6.5% | -15.4% | 50% | 50% | +1.2% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -6.5% | -15.4% | 50% | 50% | +1.2% |
| all | 12 | -6.5% | -15.4% | 50% | 50% | +1.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.4% | 50% | +1.2% |
| 10% | -23.5% | 25% | -8.5% |
| 15% | -30.9% | 17% | -17.3% |
| 20% | -37.7% | 8% | -25.4% |