Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:57:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x9165…ddde
crypto · 114 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$27 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses52 / 62
Open positions0
Markets (closed)114 / 114
History coverage4d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day116.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 114 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days−$13
14 days−$13
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 16? Jun 14 $2 $0 -4%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $2 $0 -2%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 14? Jun 14 $2 $0 -3%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 16? Jun 14 $2 $0 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 14? Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET Jun 14 $39 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$9 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$9 -57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $13 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$1 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$2 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$26 +413%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 16? SELL Yes 87¢ $1 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 14? SELL No 89¢ $1 1h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 14? SELL No 95¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 16? SELL Yes 54¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 14? SELL Down 80¢ $5 1h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 14? BUY No 97¢ $2 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 16? BUY Yes 89¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 14? BUY Down 77¢ $2 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 16? BUY Yes 57¢ $2 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 14? BUY No 89¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 14? BUY Down 76¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 14? BUY Down 76¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 114 -5.7% -14.7% 46% 39% -11.8%
≤30d 114 -5.7% -14.7% 46% 39% -11.8%
≤90d 114 -5.7% -14.7% 46% 39% -11.8%
all 114 -5.7% -14.7% 46% 39% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover116.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.7% 39% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.9% 31% -20.2%
15% -30.3% 26% -27.9%
20% -37.2% 16% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 508 history records