Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:40:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x9171…a29c
other · 99 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$1 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$77
Realized+$2
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses42 / 56
Whale WR (big bets)17%
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions1
Markets (closed)98 / 99
History coverage460d
Avg bet$90
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 1 History 98 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17
7 days+$20
14 days+$20
30 days+$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No 52¢ 52¢ $77 $77 −$1 (-1%)
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? Yes 48¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+107%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $79 +$17 +21%
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? Jun 12 $146 $0 +0%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 10 $179 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 09 $159 +$4 +2%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Jun 08 $175 $0 +0%
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 W Apr 27 $201 −$3 -1%
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? Apr 22 $107 −$5 -4%
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026? Apr 21 $39 +$1 +2%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first roun Apr 21 $194 −$2 -1%
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? Apr 17 $14 −$3 -21%
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? Apr 16 $22 $0 +1%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom Apr 14 $1,148 $0 +0%
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 13 $1,043 $0 +0%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 13 $1,043 $0 +0%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 12 $49 $0 +0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 12 $185 $0 +0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 12 $1,044 −$1 -0%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 11 $61 $0 -0%
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? Apr 11 $1,044 $0 +0%
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? Apr 10 $1,146 +$2 +0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee Apr 10 $19 $0 +0%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 10 $38 $0 +1%
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? Jan 03 $7 $0 +2%
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? Dec 16 $1 $0 -3%
Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03? Dec 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29? Nov 26 $11 $0 +0%
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03? Nov 26 $30 $0 +0%
Will Fulham win on 2025-12-02? Nov 25 $10 $0 +0%
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03? Nov 25 $11 $0 +0%
Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03? Nov 25 $12 $0 +0%
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66? Nov 20 $13 −$2 -17%
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026? Nov 20 $2 $0 -12%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Nov 14 $11 −$1 -6%
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election? Oct 24 $12 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Oct 23 $2 $0 -1%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? Oct 23 $32 $0 +0%
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025? Oct 23 $8 $0 -0%
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025? Oct 23 $6 $0 +1%
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series? Oct 19 $13 $0 +1%
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? Oct 11 $7 $0 +7%
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series? Oct 02 $5 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31? Oct 01 $7 $0 +0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? Oct 01 $11 $0 +0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Oct 01 $7 $0 +0%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series? Sep 29 $7 $0 +0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Sep 28 $7 $0 +0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series? Sep 28 $19 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31? Sep 28 $6 $0 +0%
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 202 Sep 28 $5 $0 +0%
Will Trump pardon George Santos in 2025? Sep 27 $16 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 46% −$5
world 22% +$15
other 18% −$7
sports 13% −$3
culture 1% +$1
economics 0% $0
weather 0% $0
crypto 0% $0
finance 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY No 52¢ $77 1h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 15¢ $3 10h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 15¢ $15 10h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 15¢ $28 10h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 15¢ $28 10h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 15¢ $21 10h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 12¢ $79 12h
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $125 18h
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $21 18h
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $146 21h
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 96¢ $179 2d
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $179 2d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 90¢ $163 4d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 88¢ $130 4d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 88¢ $29 4d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $175 4d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $175 4d
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 W SELL Yes 48¢ $99 47d
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 W BUY Yes 48¢ $99 47d
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 W SELL Yes 52¢ $22 47d
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 W SELL Yes 52¢ $3 47d
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 W SELL Yes 52¢ $52 47d
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 W SELL Yes 52¢ $5 47d
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 W SELL Yes 52¢ $1 47d
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 W SELL Yes 52¢ $17 47d
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 W BUY Yes 53¢ $102 47d
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? SELL No 84¢ $102 51d
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? BUY No 87¢ $107 51d
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026? SELL Yes 13¢ $13 52d
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026? SELL Yes 13¢ $26 52d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +4.7% -5.3% 40% 20% -7.0%
≤30d 5 +4.7% -5.3% 40% 20% -7.0%
≤90d 22 -4.5% -13.6% 27% 5% -9.4%
all 98 -2.1% -11.4% 43% 2% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.4% 2% -9.5%
10% -19.9% 0% -18.1%
15% -27.6% 0% -26.1%
20% -34.7% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $77.33 · official $76.73 (match) · 349 history records