Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:07:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x918a…29c3
other · 15 markets active 11h ago
7.5score
+$1,113 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$861 · open +$252
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4,046
Realized+$861
Unrealized+$252
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses6 / 3
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions6
Markets (closed)9 / 15
History coverage387d
Avg bet$878
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown30%
Kalshi-fit40%
Chart Positions 6 History 9 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$472
7 days+$472
14 days+$472
30 days+$689
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $1,800 $1,623 −$177 (-10%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $1,494 $1,503 +$9 (+1%)
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No 13¢ 70¢ $100 $535 +$435 (+435%)
Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 22¢ 24¢ $200 $220 +$20 (+10%)
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $150 $114 −$36 (-24%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $50 $51 +$1 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1,165 +$338 +29%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $61 +$64 +105%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $703 +$101 +14%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $51 −$30 -59%
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? May 26 $1,010 +$217 +22%
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? Dec 08 $3,024 +$147 +5%
Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest? Oct 27 $2,738 +$286 +10%
Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? Jul 23 $300 −$262 -87%
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milan May 31 $257 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 54% +$388
other 39% +$623
sports 7% +$101
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $1,503 10h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 77¢ $1,165 17h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 100¢ $125 18h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $804 18h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 87¢ $703 20h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 9¢ $21 20h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $51 31h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 48¢ $61 42h
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $103 5d
Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 20¢ $103 5d
Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 25¢ $103 8d
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? BUY No 13¢ $103 18d
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? SELL No 92¢ $1,227 18d
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $51 20d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $51 20d
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 18¢ $1,844 20d
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? BUY No 75¢ $1,010 36d
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? BUY No 95¢ $3,024 228d
Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest? SELL No 100¢ $3,024 228d
Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest? BUY No 95¢ $38 325d
Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? SELL Yes 0¢ $15 325d
Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? SELL Yes 3¢ $2 349d
Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? SELL Yes 3¢ $3 351d
Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? SELL Yes 3¢ $1 351d
Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 351d
Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 351d
Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? SELL Yes 3¢ $1 351d
Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 351d
Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? SELL Yes 3¢ $1 351d
Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 351d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-5.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +22.3% +10.6% 75% 75% +12.1%
≤30d 5 +22.1% +10.5% 80% 80% +11.3%
≤90d 5 +22.1% +10.5% 80% 80% +11.3%
all 9 +4.3% -5.6% 67% 44% -1.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.6% 44% -1.2%
10% -14.7% 22% -10.6%
15% -22.9% 11% -19.3%
20% -30.5% 11% -27.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,046.45 · official $4,047.68 (match) · 119 history records