Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:43:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x918e…3271
finance · 14 markets active 2h ago
9.0score
+$87 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$543 · open −$512
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$968
Realized+$543
Unrealized−$512
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses6 / 0
Open positions8
Markets (closed)6 / 14
History coverage20d
Avg bet$258
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 8 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$156
7 days+$156
14 days+$182
30 days+$543
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 58¢ 57¢ $174 $173 −$2 (-1%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June? Yes 31¢ 32¢ $169 $172 +$3 (+2%)
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes 11¢ 8¢ $214 $167 −$48 (-22%)
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes 8¢ 6¢ $200 $150 −$50 (-25%)
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes 25¢ 14¢ $221 $125 −$96 (-43%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? Yes 33¢ 17¢ $183 $95 −$88 (-48%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June? Yes 10¢ 3¢ $193 $67 −$125 (-65%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June? Yes 8¢ 1¢ $124 $19 −$105 (-85%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May? No 22¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? Jun 12 $204 +$156 +76%
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? May 30 $139 +$26 +18%
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? May 28 $282 +$84 +30%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 28 $100 +$39 +39%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? May 26 $598 +$214 +36%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May? May 25 $391 +$23 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 46% −$79
world 29% +$148
crypto 19% −$193
other 6% +$156
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? BUY Yes 18¢ $18 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? BUY Yes 18¢ $6 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 58¢ $174 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June? BUY Yes 31¢ $174 1h
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? SELL Yes 21¢ $335 9h
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? SELL Yes 21¢ $1 24h
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? SELL Yes 24¢ $2 32h
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? SELL Yes 24¢ $5 32h
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? SELL Yes 24¢ $17 32h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June? BUY Yes 7¢ $60 2d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? BUY Yes 41¢ $84 2d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 2d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? BUY Yes 34¢ $80 2d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June? BUY Yes 11¢ $140 12d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June? BUY Yes 5¢ $13 13d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June? BUY Yes 5¢ $14 13d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June? BUY Yes 5¢ $0 13d
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? SELL No 56¢ $165 13d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June? BUY Yes 10¢ $66 14d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June? BUY Yes 10¢ $0 14d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June? BUY Yes 10¢ $0 14d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 14d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June? BUY Yes 10¢ $31 14d
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 25¢ $202 14d
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 8¢ $213 14d
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 23¢ $2 14d
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 23¢ $3 14d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 68¢ $422 14d
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 23¢ $26 15d
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? BUY Yes 12¢ $39 15d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+25.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +76.5% +59.7% 100% 100% +59.7%
≤30d 6 +38.2% +25.1% 100% 100% +25.5%
≤90d 6 +38.2% +25.1% 100% 100% +25.5%
all 6 +38.2% +25.1% 100% 100% +25.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +25.1% 100% +25.5%
10% +13.1% 83% +13.5%
15% +2.2% 50% +2.5%
20% -7.9% 17% -7.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $967.90 · official $967.90 (match) · 62 history records