trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -1.4% | -10.8% | 44% | 0% | -11.9% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -1.4% | -10.8% | 44% | 0% | -11.9% |
| all | 25 | -3.9% | -13.0% | 52% | 0% | -11.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.0% | 0% | -11.4% |
| 10% | -21.3% | 0% | -19.8% |
| 15% | -28.9% | 0% | -27.6% |
| 20% | -35.9% | 0% | -34.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 18 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 27 | $65 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 26 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 26 | $74 | $0 | +1% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 25 | $62 | −$9 | -14% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 25 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 24 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | May 24 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 National League Championship? | Jul 24 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July? | Jun 26 | $7 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea el | Jun 05 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope? | May 09 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland? | Apr 18 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30? | Apr 17 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 8-14? | Apr 14 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Giants make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? | Apr 13 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference? | Apr 12 | $12 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Alexander Isak be the top goalscorer in the EPL? | Apr 11 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Meta buy TikTok? | Apr 09 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April? | Apr 09 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Susan Crawford win by 8-10%? | Apr 06 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election? | Apr 05 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 28 | $11 | $0 | -1% |
| Will 'Snow White' gross between 34-39m on opening weekend? | Mar 22 | $2 | −$1 | -90% |