Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:14:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x9195…3c98
crypto · 1020 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$743 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$743 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$743
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses559 / 461
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1020 / 1020
History coverage61d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day43.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1020 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$30
7 days−$66
14 days−$66
30 days−$200
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$6 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$7 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$5 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$6 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$6 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$3 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $21 −$6 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$4 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 10 $21 −$19 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $31 −$27 -86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$743
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $4 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $4 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $4 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $7 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $11 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $8 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-17.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 164 -7.5% -16.3% 54% 51% -11.0%
≤30d 394 -8.5% -17.2% 54% 49% -13.7%
≤90d 1020 -8.8% -17.5% 55% 49% -13.4%
all 1020 -8.8% -17.5% 55% 49% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.5% 49% -13.4%
10% ← realistic here -25.4% 41% -21.6%
15% -32.6% 31% -29.2%
20% -39.2% 22% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3209 history records