Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:16:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x919a…87b9
crypto · 896 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$37 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$37 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$37
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses507 / 389
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)896 / 896
History coverage20d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day74.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 896 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$112
7 days−$87
14 days−$51
30 days−$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -57%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -27%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$6 +185%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -38%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$5 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$37
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 479 -7.9% -16.7% 48% 44% -15.7%
≤30d 896 -1.2% -10.6% 57% 41% -10.8%
≤90d 896 -1.2% -10.6% 57% 41% -10.8%
all 896 -1.2% -10.6% 57% 41% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover74.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 41% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 33% -19.4%
15% -27.0% 28% -27.1%
20% -34.1% 22% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2058 history records