trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 26 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $59 | $59 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $26 | $26 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 30 | $2,009 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Jun 30 | $1,177 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June? | Jun 29 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 29 | $1,268 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 29 | $1,249 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 29 | $1,287 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 16 | $83 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 16 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 16 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | May 14 | $47 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? | May 14 | $51 | $0 | -0% |
| Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 14 | $748 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May? | May 14 | $705 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | May 13 | $41 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | May 13 | $44 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? | May 13 | $784 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference? | May 13 | $750 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? | May 12 | $729 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? | May 12 | $43 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 12 | $769 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Apr 01 | $113 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Apr 01 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom | Apr 01 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 27 | $142 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 27 | $76 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026 | Mar 27 | $22 | $0 | -0% |