Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:17:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x919c…7678
crypto · 1150 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$123 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$127 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized−$127
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses595 / 547
Open positions8
Markets (closed)1142 / 1150
History coverage134d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day15.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 8 History 1142 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days−$7
14 days−$17
30 days−$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes 38¢ 62¢ $4 $7 +$3 (+65%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? Yes 24¢ 28¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+15%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+34%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes 8¢ 2¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-75%)
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 10¢ 2¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-81%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-91%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$8 +373%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$15 +471%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 +$1 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$5 +258%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +54%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$134
world 2% +$12
finance 0% −$6
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 2h
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? BUY Yes 68¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $8 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 -7.2% -16.0% 51% 40% -12.2%
≤30d 93 -19.1% -26.8% 45% 35% -15.4%
≤90d 829 -11.8% -20.2% 46% 32% -17.4%
all 1142 -8.7% -17.4% 52% 33% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.4% 33% -11.2%
10% -25.3% 26% -19.7%
15% -32.5% 21% -27.5%
20% -39.1% 17% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.10 · official $12.10 (match) · 3286 history records