Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T13:50:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
91 0x91a3…cc0d crypto 235 markets active 1h ago coverage 18d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$162 (-4%) realized −$162 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -24% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -42% what you keep after slip
Net edge-42%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate40%93W / 142L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day34.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$118
7 days−$118
14 days−$118
30 days−$487
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$487
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-31.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -13.3% -21.6% 33% 33% -25.1%
≤30d 235 -24.5% -31.7% 40% 37% -21.0%
≤90d 235 -24.5% -31.7% 40% 37% -21.0%
all 235 -24.5% -31.7% 40% 37% -21.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover34.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.7% 37% -21.0%
10% ← realistic here -38.2% 29% -28.6%
15% -44.2% 23% -35.5%
20% -49.7% 17% -41.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 21% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -14% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -25% · $-wt -14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -10% → late -39% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$12 vs −$11 · ×1.05 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.7 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

18d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$162
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses93 / 142
Open positions0
Markets (closed)235 / 235
History coverage18d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day34.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 235 Trades
no open positions (75 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 19 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 19 $56 −$53 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 19 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 19 $21 +$68 +319%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 19 $106 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 19 $74 −$70 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 19 $73 +$145 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 19 $105 −$19 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 19 $21 −$13 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 19 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 19 $21 +$58 +276%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$6 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 19 $21 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 19 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 19 $2 +$2 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 19 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 19 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 19 $31 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 19 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 04 $40 −$38 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 04 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 04 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 04 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 04 $53 +$44 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 04 $55 +$26 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 04 $21 −$16 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 04 $53 +$38 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 04 $9 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 04 $53 −$24 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 04 $21 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 04 $5 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 04 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 04 $53 +$25 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 04 $21 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 04 $54 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 04 $52 +$23 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 04 $51 +$26 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 04 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 04 $8 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 04 $54 +$14 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 04 $52 +$6 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $60 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $219 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $79 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $13 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 682 history records