trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | +59.4% | +44.3% | 43% | 43% | +19.9% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +59.4% | +44.3% | 43% | 43% | +19.9% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +31.3% | +18.8% | 35% | 35% | -5.5% |
| all | 19 | +29.7% | +17.3% | 37% | 37% | -1.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +17.3% | 37% | -1.5% |
| 10% | +6.1% | 37% | -10.9% |
| 15% | -4.2% | 37% | -19.5% |
| 20% | -13.6% | 37% | -27.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $1,941 | +$1,059 | +55% |
| Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 2 Japan? | Jun 21 | $308 | −$15 | -5% |
| Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 3 Japan? | Jun 21 | $164 | +$246 | +149% |
| Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 2 Japan? | Jun 21 | $226 | −$51 | -22% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5 | Jun 20 | $607 | −$595 | -98% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $430 | −$59 | -14% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $287 | −$34 | -12% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 | Jun 20 | $509 | −$500 | -98% |
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 20 | $1,017 | +$910 | +90% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5 | Jun 19 | $508 | −$500 | -98% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $712 | +$995 | +140% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $31 | +$186 | +604% |
| Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Jun 17 | $260 | +$643 | +248% |
| EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Apr 01 | $2,910 | −$2,264 | -78% |
| EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Apr 01 | $43 | −$43 | -100% |
| EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Apr 01 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Jan 20 | $2,720 | +$1,523 | +56% |
| Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Jan 15 | $2,657 | −$651 | -24% |