Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:11:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x91a9…ec28
crypto · 1204 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$245 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$245 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$245
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses483 / 721
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1204 / 1204
History coverage78d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day29.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1204 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$10
14 days−$23
30 days−$54
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$245
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-22.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 86 -9.9% -18.4% 58% 44% -15.4%
≤30d 336 -11.0% -19.5% 58% 43% -16.9%
≤90d 1204 -14.3% -22.4% 40% 33% -21.1%
all 1204 -14.3% -22.4% 40% 33% -21.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.4% 33% -21.1%
10% ← realistic here -29.9% 25% -28.7%
15% -36.6% 18% -35.6%
20% -42.8% 14% -41.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records