Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:57:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x91aa…19b8
crypto · 188 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$46,007 +28%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,433 · open −$13,375
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$50,577
Realized−$1,433
Unrealized−$13,375
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses134 / 182
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)316 / 188
History coverage3d
Avg bet$886
Trades / day1131.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 316 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,725
7 days−$1,433
14 days−$1,433
30 days−$1,433
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 50¢ 77¢ $25,000 $38,375 +$13,375 (+54%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 50¢ 23¢ $25,000 $11,625 −$13,375 (-54%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $383 $387 +$4 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $188 $190 +$2 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $446 $0 −$446 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $286 $0 −$286 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $604 $0 −$604 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $142 $0 −$142 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$86 +233194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $446 −$446 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$386 +44604%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $286 −$286 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $94 −$94 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$24 -790%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $427 −$427 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $206 −$206 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$60 -459%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $993 −$993 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$7 -233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $64 −$76 -119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$5 -540%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $68 −$68 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$333 +3330%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $280 −$280 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% +$3,071
other 13% −$13,375
tech 0% +$589
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $96 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $54 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $472 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $93 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $389 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $59 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 316 +0.1% -9.4% 42% 24% -11.3%
≤30d 316 +0.1% -9.4% 42% 24% -11.3%
≤90d 316 +0.1% -9.4% 42% 24% -11.3%
all 316 +0.1% -9.4% 42% 24% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1131.3 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 24% -11.3%
10% -18.1% 19% -19.8%
15% ← realistic here -26.0% 14% -27.6%
20% -33.2% 9% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $50,576.64 · official $50,576.64 (match) · 3500 history records