Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:00:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
91 0x91ad…b740 crypto 1135 markets active 0h ago coverage 130d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 129d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$4,435 (-5%) realized −$4,435 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate53%619W / 542L
Whale WR57%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$83per market
Trades / day25.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,006
7 days−$4,293
14 days−$4,337
30 days−$4,379
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,824
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 221 -13.3% -21.6% 48% 44% -34.6%
≤30d 346 -4.6% -13.7% 52% 48% -29.7%
≤90d 346 -4.6% -13.7% 52% 48% -29.7%
all 1161 -3.2% -12.5% 53% 48% -15.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover25.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 48% -15.2%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 41% -23.3%
15% -28.5% 34% -30.7%
20% -35.5% 29% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -23% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
10% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 57% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -4% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$33 vs −$50 · ×0.67 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.76 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

130d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,435
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses619 / 542
Whale WR (big bets)57%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1161 / 1135
History coverage130d ⚠
Avg bet$83
Trades / day25.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1161 Trades
no open positions (252 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $284 −$284 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $857 −$857 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $100 −$42 -42%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $76 −$76 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $54 −$36 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $103 −$103 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $426 −$426 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $45 −$45 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $373 −$373 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $215 −$187 -87%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $75 −$75 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $276 −$276 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $46 −$25 -54%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $129 −$129 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $61 −$61 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $316 −$316 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $270 −$270 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $646 −$646 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $119 −$119 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $132 −$132 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $116 +$58 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $98 +$17 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $56 +$43 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $16 −$8 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 17 $23 −$14 -62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 17 $52 +$37 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $196 −$10 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $51 +$25 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $58 −$57 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $32 +$27 +84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $104 +$90 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 17 $7 +$4 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 17 $69 +$42 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $25 −$16 -62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $30 −$4 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 17 $59 −$57 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $76 −$75 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $54 −$52 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $29 +$27 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $65 −$36 -56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $42 +$22 +53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $42 −$40 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$100 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $61 +$38 +63%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $116 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $116 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $98 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $98 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $56 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $23 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $89 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $52 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $90 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $119 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $42 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $77 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $51 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $58 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $59 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $32 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $104 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $7 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $112 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $59 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records