Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T11:53:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
91 0x91b5…c421 crypto 112 markets active 1h ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (80 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable
Total PnL +$47 (+2%) realized +$47 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +771% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +570% what you keep after slip
Net edge+570%after slip
Net WR57%break-even
Win rate94%105W / 7L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$25per market
Trades / day79.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$13now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (80 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)+687.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 112 +770.6% +687.7% 94% 57% -9.3%
≤30d 112 +770.6% +687.7% 94% 57% -9.3%
≤90d 112 +770.6% +687.7% 94% 57% -9.3%
all 112 +770.6% +687.7% 94% 57% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover79.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +687.7% 57% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here +612.3% 57% -18.0%
15% +543.5% 57% -25.9%
20% +480.4% 57% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
39% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +771% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +917% → late +624% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$25 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.12 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$13
Realized+$47
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses105 / 7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)112 / 112
History coverage3d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day79.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 112 Trades
no open positions (71 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 19 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 19 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 19 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 19 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 19 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 19 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 18 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 18 $26 +$24 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 18 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 18 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 18 $25 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 18 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 18 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 18 $25 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 18 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 18 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 18 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 18 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 17 $25 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 17 $25 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $25 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $25 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 17 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 16 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 16 $25 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 16 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 16 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 16 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $25 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 16 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 16 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 16 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 16 $25 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 16 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $25 −$25 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $28 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $16 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $48 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $26 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $26 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $13 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $13 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $25 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $25 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $26 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.95 · official $0.00 · 247 history records