Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:06:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x91b8…7fd9
crypto · 548 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$253 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$253 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$253
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses419 / 129
Whale WR (big bets)92%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)548 / 548
History coverage24d
Avg bet$73
Trades / day84.4
Drawdown88%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 548 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days−$632
14 days+$544
30 days+$253
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 98¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 86¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 27¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 18¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 95¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 72¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 49¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 98¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 11¢ $119 $0 −$119 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Down 14¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 94¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 98¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 64¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 40¢ $418 $0 −$418 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 53¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 90¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 20¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 10¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 94¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$6 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$253
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $8 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $8 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $8 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $9 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $8 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 156 +1.0% -8.6% 75% 28% -16.6%
≤30d 548 -2.7% -12.0% 76% 14% -8.9%
≤90d 548 -2.7% -12.0% 76% 14% -8.9%
all 548 -2.7% -12.0% 76% 14% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover84.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.0% 14% -8.9%
10% ← realistic here -20.4% 10% -17.6%
15% -28.1% 7% -25.6%
20% -35.2% 6% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2416 history records