Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T13:26:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
91 0x91bd…8009 crypto 304 markets active 0h ago coverage 6d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (142 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$160 (+3%) realized +$160 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate49%148W / 156L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$16per market
Trades / day142.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (142 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 304 -0.5% -10.0% 49% 48% -9.9%
≤30d 304 -0.5% -10.0% 49% 48% -9.9%
≤90d 304 -0.5% -10.0% 49% 48% -9.9%
all 304 -0.5% -10.0% 49% 48% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover142.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 48% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 46% -18.6%
15% -26.5% 46% -26.4%
20% -33.7% 43% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +9% → late -10% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$14 vs −$13 · ×1.04 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.99 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$160
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses148 / 156
Open positions0
Markets (closed)304 / 304
History coverage6d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day142.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 304 Trades
no open positions (95 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 21 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 21 $10 +$9 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 21 $10 +$9 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 21 $10 +$9 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 21 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 21 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 21 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 21 $5 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 21 $26 +$20 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 21 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 21 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 21 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 21 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 21 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 21 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 21 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 21 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 21 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 21 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 21 $22 −$20 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 21 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 21 $16 +$17 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 21 $5 +$5 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 20 $21 +$21 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 20 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 20 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$4 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 20 $16 +$17 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 20 $12 +$13 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 20 $16 +$13 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 20 $16 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 20 $21 +$17 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 20 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 20 $16 +$18 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 20 $12 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 20 $16 +$15 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 20 $11 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 20 $16 +$13 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 20 $16 +$14 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 20 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 20 $21 −$9 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 20 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 20 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 20 $21 +$18 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 20 $17 −$1 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $20 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $20 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $19 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $32 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1036 history records