Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:36:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x91cd…3f35
sports · 32 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$19 +17%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$18 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$49
Realized+$18
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses10 / 5
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions17
Markets (closed)15 / 32
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day125.0
Drawdown16%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 17 History 15 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$18
7 days+$18
14 days+$18
30 days+$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Dodgers 66¢ 69¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+6%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs 46¢ 46¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays New York Yankees 55¢ 64¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+15%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Tampa Bay Rays 53¢ 52¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 52¢ 46¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-12%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Vitality 77¢ 100¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+29%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 87¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+15%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 37¢ 81¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+119%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Bilibili Gaming 62¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+61%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 64¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+56%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 64¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+56%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 66¢ 94¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+43%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds 49¢ 64¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+30%)
Germany leading at halftime? Yes 84¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Athletics 64¢ 64¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? No 50¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner G2 Esports 87¢ 62¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-28%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 59¢ 38¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-36%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $1 $0 +29%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $2 +$1 +40%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $1 $0 +38%
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $3 +$4 +136%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $1 $0 +44%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $1 +$1 +61%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -73%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 14 $31 +$15 +47%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 14 $1 +$1 +90%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $22 −$1 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 76% +$24
other 24% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 Esports 87¢ $1 4m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 90¢ $1 32m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 86¢ $1 35m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 84¢ $1 43m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 66¢ $1 49m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 66¢ $1 49m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 66¢ $1 49m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 66¢ $1 49m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 66¢ $1 49m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 46¢ $1 50m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 46¢ $1 50m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 46¢ $1 50m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 46¢ $1 50m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 46¢ $1 50m
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 96¢ $1 52m
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Germany 37¢ $1 53m
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 69¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 66¢ $1 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 99¢ $1 1h
Germany leading at halftime? BUY Yes 84¢ $1 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 64¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 91¢ $1 2h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Leviatán Esports 87¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 72¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 72¢ $1 2h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 55¢ $1 2h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 55¢ $1 2h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 55¢ $1 2h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 55¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-2.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +8.2% -2.1% 67% 60% +13.4%
≤30d 15 +8.2% -2.1% 67% 60% +13.4%
≤90d 15 +8.2% -2.1% 67% 60% +13.4%
all 15 +8.2% -2.1% 67% 60% +13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover125.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.1% 60% +13.4%
10% ← realistic here -11.5% 53% +2.6%
15% -20.0% 47% -7.4%
20% -27.9% 20% -16.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $48.93 · official $48.93 (match) · 135 history records