Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T00:36:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
91 0x91ee…406d other 12 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$30 (-1%) realized −$30 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate40%4W / 6L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$310per market
Trades / day30.6pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit8%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 99% −$108
sports 1% −$37
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -2.4% -11.7% 40% 40% -14.0%
≤30d 10 -2.4% -11.7% 40% 40% -14.0%
≤90d 10 -2.4% -11.7% 40% 40% -14.0%
all 10 -2.4% -11.7% 40% 40% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover30.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 40% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 30% -22.3%
15% -27.8% 30% -29.8%
20% -34.9% 20% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 69% · top 2 93% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$114 vs −$100 · ×1.14 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.76 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$30
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses4 / 6
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)10 / 12
History coverage1d
Avg bet$310
Trades / day30.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit8%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 10 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? Jun 23 $203 −$116 -57%
Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-06-22? Jun 23 $79 +$31 +40%
Grêmio Novorizontino leading at halftime? Jun 23 $1 +$1 +143%
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? Jun 22 $178 −$7 -4%
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? Jun 22 $807 +$107 +13%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? Jun 22 $490 +$316 +64%
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime? Jun 21 $38 −$37 -98%
Uruguay leading at halftime? Jun 21 $226 −$188 -83%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? Jun 21 $231 −$4 -2%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? Jun 21 $649 −$248 -38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? BUY 58¢ $113 10m
Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 95¢ $110 11m
Grêmio Novorizontino leading at halftime? SELL Yes 99¢ $2 12m
Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 65¢ $1 1h
Grêmio Novorizontino leading at halftime? BUY Yes 40¢ $1 1h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? SELL Yes 52¢ $1 1h
Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 67¢ $8 1h
Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 67¢ $70 1h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? SELL Yes 53¢ $8 1h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? SELL Yes 53¢ $20 1h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? SELL Yes 53¢ $50 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? BUY 28¢ $2 1h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? BUY Yes 58¢ $0 1h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? BUY Yes 58¢ $25 1h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? BUY Yes 56¢ $60 1h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? SELL 59¢ $87 2h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? BUY 60¢ $90 3h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? SELL Yes 45¢ $21 3h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? SELL Yes 56¢ $44 3h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? SELL Yes 58¢ $26 3h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? AND BUY 57¢ $822 4h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? BUY Yes 59¢ $14 4h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? BUY Yes 52¢ $11 5h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? BUY Yes 52¢ $18 5h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? BUY Yes 52¢ $49 5h
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? BUY No 88¢ $807 21h
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? SELL Yes 100¢ $806 21h
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 60¢ $490 23h
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 31¢ $38 26h
Uruguay leading at halftime? SELL Yes 9¢ $38 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $926.73 · 40 history records