trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | -27.6% | -34.5% | 38% | 23% | -32.9% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -18.8% | -26.5% | 48% | 32% | -25.9% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -18.8% | -26.5% | 48% | 32% | -25.9% |
| all | 25 | -18.8% | -26.5% | 48% | 32% | -25.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -26.5% | 32% | -25.9% |
| 10% | -33.6% | 24% | -33.0% |
| 15% | -40.0% | 24% | -39.5% |
| 20% | -45.9% | 12% | -45.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 28? | Yes | 91¢ | 99¢ | $956 | $1,048 | +$93 (+10%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 23¢ | $16 | $23 | +$7 (+42%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 11¢ | $16 | $11 | −$6 (-34%) |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 74¢ | 74¢ | $7 | $7 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 28 | $3,682 | −$1,474 | -40% |
| Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 27 | $101 | +$18 | +18% |
| Piracicaba: Matias Soto vs Gonzalo Villanueva | Jun 26 | $503 | +$106 | +21% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 26? | Jun 26 | $403 | −$400 | -99% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26? | Jun 26 | $300 | +$4 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25? | Jun 25 | $1,351 | −$338 | -25% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 25? | Jun 25 | $18 | −$17 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24? | Jun 24 | $41 | +$67 | +163% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24? | Jun 24 | $301 | +$23 | +8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 24? | Jun 24 | $9 | −$9 | -95% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Jun 23 | $1,400 | −$47 | -3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 24? | Jun 23 | $16 | −$16 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24? | Jun 23 | $29 | −$28 | -96% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | Jun 15 | $1,200 | −$169 | -14% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $800 | +$340 | +42% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $19 | +$11 | +55% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $18 | −$18 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$11 | +109% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $35 | +$15 | +44% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 11 | $307 | +$20 | +7% |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | Jun 11 | $68 | +$1 | +1% |
| KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins | Jun 10 | $14 | +$6 | +44% |