Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:11:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
91 0x91fe…a685 crypto 875 markets active 4d ago coverage 34d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 33d only
✗ bot/MM pace (88 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$432 (-3%) realized −$432 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR16%break-even
Win rate57%501W / 374L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day87.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$96
14 days−$22
30 days−$544
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$562
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (88 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -0.7% -10.1% 41% 28% -1.4%
≤30d 861 -7.1% -15.9% 57% 16% -12.7%
≤90d 875 -7.2% -16.0% 57% 16% -12.8%
all 875 -7.2% -16.0% 57% 16% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover87.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.0% 16% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -24.0% 8% -21.1%
15% -31.4% 5% -28.8%
20% -38.1% 4% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
71% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -11% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.52 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.7 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

34d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$432
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses501 / 374
Open positions0
Markets (closed)875 / 875
History coverage34d ⚠
Avg bet$18
Trades / day87.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 875 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $37 +$8 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $49 −$30 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$9 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $39 +$67 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$25 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $69 −$7 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $96 +$6 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $27 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $48 −$11 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $86 −$37 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $95 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $128 −$24 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$11 +214%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 11 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 11 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $91 +$187 +205%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $72 −$46 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $52 −$28 -54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 10 $52 −$52 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$5 +58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $187 −$38 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $68 +$36 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $14 +$4 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$4 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 10 $85 +$21 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 08 $16 −$6 -35%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $45 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $37 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $12 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $37 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $12 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $12 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 9¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $12 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $39 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $42 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $7 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $9 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $9 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $36 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $21 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $24 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $45 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $57 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $39 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Up 4¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records