Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:36:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x91ff…2b12
crypto · 617 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$825 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,085 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,085
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses377 / 240
Open positions0
Markets (closed)617 / 617
History coverage88d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day26.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 617 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$3
14 days−$333
30 days−$1,093
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$10 +157%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$4 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$7 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$5 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$7 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $15 −$14 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $15 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $18 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$10 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $21 +$36 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $36 +$72 +199%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 10 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $26 +$60 +226%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,137
other 0% +$52
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $7 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $7 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $7 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $7 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 -3.6% -12.8% 55% 55% -9.0%
≤30d 580 -9.5% -18.1% 61% 47% -15.4%
≤90d 617 -8.2% -17.0% 61% 46% -15.1%
all 617 -8.2% -17.0% 61% 46% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.0% 46% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here -24.9% 32% -23.2%
15% -32.2% 23% -30.6%
20% -38.8% 16% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2801 history records