Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:41:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x9201…5624
sports · 6 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$15 +26%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized+$14
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses4 / 0
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)4 / 6
History coverage3d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day4.6
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 2 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$14
14 days+$14
30 days+$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner T1 31¢ 40¢ $12 $15 +$3 (+27%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $10 +$4 +43%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 +$4 +50%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$5 +46%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $9 +$1 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 83% +$3
other 17% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 31¢ $12 3m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 68¢ $10 46m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 99¢ $0 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 51¢ $7 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 36¢ $5 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 51¢ $7 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 35¢ $5 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 66¢ $5 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 51¢ $6 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 28¢ $2 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 42¢ $5 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 55¢ $15 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $10 2d
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) SELL Mexico 48¢ $10 2d
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $9 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+25.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +38.8% +25.6% 100% 100% +25.4%
≤30d 4 +38.8% +25.6% 100% 100% +25.4%
≤90d 4 +38.8% +25.6% 100% 100% +25.4%
all 4 +38.8% +25.6% 100% 100% +25.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +25.6% 100% +25.4%
10% +13.6% 75% +13.4%
15% +2.6% 75% +2.5%
20% -7.5% 25% -7.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.30 · official $16.53 · 15 history records