Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:46:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x920f…da67
politics · 133 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
−$16 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$21 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$55
Realized−$21
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)7%
Wins / losses9 / 123
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)132 / 133
History coverage110d
Avg bet$306
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit66%
Chart Positions 1 History 132 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$1
14 days−$2
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $55 $55 −$0 (-0%)
Trail Blazers vs. Clippers Clippers 67¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Nets vs. Trail Blazers Nets 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Wizards vs. Heat Wizards 11¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Heat vs. Rockets Heat 46¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Mavericks vs. Hawks Mavericks 22¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Knicks Knicks 40¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 14 $51 $0 -0%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $34 $0 -0%
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 11 $27 $0 -0%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 11 $49 $0 -0%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju Jun 11 $56 $0 -0%
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 10 $31 $0 -0%
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 10 $47 $0 -0%
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $342 $0 -0%
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 07 $34 $0 -0%
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin Jun 01 $576 −$1 -0%
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 01 $30 $0 -0%
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? May 30 $408 $0 -0%
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 30 $316 −$1 -0%
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 27 $284 $0 -0%
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 26 $302 $0 -0%
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 25 $310 $0 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? May 23 $295 $0 -0%
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 22 $481 −$1 -0%
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 22 $290 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? May 22 $325 $0 -0%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 21 $247 $0 -0%
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? May 19 $299 $0 -0%
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 19 $281 $0 -0%
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 18 $245 $0 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 17 $296 $0 -0%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 17 $237 $0 -0%
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? May 15 $324 −$1 -0%
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 13 $255 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me May 13 $323 $0 -0%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 13 $889 −$1 -0%
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 12 $262 $0 -0%
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? May 11 $644 −$1 -0%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 11 $278 −$1 -0%
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 10 $289 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 10 $559 −$1 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 10 $291 −$1 -0%
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 06 $523 −$1 -0%
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 06 $820 −$1 -0%
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 06 $263 $0 -0%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 05 $177 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April? May 05 $47 $0 +0%
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? May 04 $179 $0 -0%
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? May 03 $265 $0 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 03 $268 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 02 $204 $0 -0%
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 02 $245 $0 -0%
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 01 $273 $0 -0%
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 01 $979 −$1 -0%
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 30 $214 $0 -0%
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 27 $284 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 46% −$20
politics 42% −$20
economics 3% −$1
sports 3% +$22
tech 2% −$1
world 2% −$1
crypto 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingd BUY No 100¢ $55 1h
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $51 1h
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $51 4h
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $34 13h
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $34 18h
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $27 2d
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $27 2d
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $49 2d
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $49 3d
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju SELL No 100¢ $56 3d
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju BUY No 100¢ $56 3d
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $31 4d
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $31 4d
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $47 4d
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $47 4d
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $32 6d
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $32 7d
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $34 7d
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $34 7d
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin SELL No 99¢ $51 13d
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin BUY No 99¢ $51 13d
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $30 13d
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $30 14d
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $51 14d
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $51 15d
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $316 15d
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $316 17d
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $284 17d
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $284 19d
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $302 19d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-7.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 26 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 123 +3.5% -6.4% 5% 3% -9.6%
all 132 +2.1% -7.6% 7% 5% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.6% 5% -9.6%
10% -16.5% 4% -18.2%
15% -24.6% 3% -26.1%
20% -31.9% 2% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $54.97 · official $54.97 (match) · 384 history records