Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:50:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x9215…5096
crypto · 374 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$88 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$88 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$88
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses309 / 63
Open positions2
Markets (closed)372 / 374
History coverage79d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day4.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 372 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 97¢ 96¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 99¢ 96¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +228%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$88
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 80 +0.9% -8.7% 94% 8% -8.5%
≤30d 85 +0.4% -9.2% 93% 12% -10.4%
≤90d 372 -5.2% -14.3% 83% 46% -15.4%
all 372 -5.2% -14.3% 83% 46% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.3% 46% -15.4%
10% -22.5% 12% -23.5%
15% -30.0% 4% -30.9%
20% -36.8% 2% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.98 · official $1.64 (match) · 809 history records