Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:13:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x9215…76c1
other · 7 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$3 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$2
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses2 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)5 / 7
History coverage2d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day5.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit43%
Chart Positions 2 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 53¢ 44¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-16%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 Over 50¢ 66¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+31%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$2 +109%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +197%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 80% −$6
sports 20% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 48¢ $5 34m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 BUY Over 50¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $2 13h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 24h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 24h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $2 27h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +1.3% -8.3% 40% 40% -27.7%
≤30d 5 +1.3% -8.3% 40% 40% -27.7%
≤90d 5 +1.3% -8.3% 40% 40% -27.7%
all 5 +1.3% -8.3% 40% 40% -27.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.3% 40% -27.7%
10% -17.1% 40% -34.6%
15% -25.1% 40% -40.9%
20% -32.5% 40% -46.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.03 · official $11.03 (match) · 10 history records