Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T21:17:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
92 0x9216…086f crypto 1976 markets active 7d ago coverage 5d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 4d only
✗ bot/MM pace (472 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$29 (-1%) realized −$29 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR66%break-even
Win rate71%1339W / 543L
Drawdown35%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day471.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$115
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (472 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +66%
net ROI/market (all)-5.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 159 -23.1% -30.4% 54% 47% -30.1%
≤30d 1882 +4.1% -5.8% 71% 66% -6.0%
≤90d 1882 +4.1% -5.8% 71% 66% -6.0%
all 1882 +4.1% -5.8% 71% 66% -6.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover471.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.8% 66% -6.0%
10% ← realistic here -14.8% 54% -15.0%
15% -23.0% 37% -23.2%
20% -30.6% 23% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +4% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +12% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.46 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.14 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$29
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses1339 / 543
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1882 / 1976
History coverage5d ⚠
Avg bet$1
Trades / day471.7
Drawdown35%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1882 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 23 $1 +$1 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +37%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 23 $1 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 23 $1 +$2 +187%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 23 $1 +$1 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 23 $1 +$3 +328%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $4 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records