Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:53:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x9217…026d
sports · 10 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$106 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$113 · open −$40
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$138
Realized−$113
Unrealized−$40
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses1 / 3
Est. fees paid−$16
Open positions6
Markets (closed)4 / 10
History coverage2d
Avg bet$63
Trades / day25.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 6 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$113
7 days−$113
14 days−$113
30 days−$113
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 47¢ 56¢ $45 $54 +$9 (+19%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Gen.G 54¢ 100¢ $20 $37 +$17 (+85%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Top Esports 46¢ 47¢ $33 $33 +$0 (+1%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Top Esports 39¢ 10¢ $55 $15 −$40 (-73%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Top Esports 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 62¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 14 $56 −$56 -100%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 14 $292 −$151 -52%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $51 −$31 -60%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $42 +$126 +300%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$153
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 53¢ $20 4m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 25¢ $15 12m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 40¢ $5 14m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 41¢ $5 17m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 46¢ $15 18m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 49¢ $10 25m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 51¢ $30 25m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Top Esports 46¢ $20 26m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner SELL Top Esports 42¢ $2 32m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Top Esports 47¢ $15 33m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 54¢ $20 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 57¢ $6 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 67¢ $5 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 71¢ $2 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 70¢ $10 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Top Esports 5¢ $5 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 52¢ $10 2h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 19¢ $55 16h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 13¢ $41 16h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 15¢ $51 16h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 16¢ $50 16h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL LOS 62¢ $103 16h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY LOS 24¢ $4 16h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY LOS 33¢ $51 16h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 30¢ $26 16h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 23¢ $19 16h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 15¢ $12 16h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 21¢ $10 16h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 25¢ $10 16h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 5¢ $10 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)+10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +22.0% +10.4% 25% 25% -32.7%
≤30d 4 +22.0% +10.4% 25% 25% -32.7%
≤90d 4 +22.0% +10.4% 25% 25% -32.7%
all 4 +22.0% +10.4% 25% 25% -32.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +10.4% 25% -32.7%
10% ← realistic here -0.2% 25% -39.1%
15% -9.8% 25% -45.0%
20% -18.7% 25% -50.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $138.42 · official $124.17 · 42 history records