Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:26:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x9227…7ced
sports · 660 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3,435 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,104 · open −$35
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,104
Unrealized−$35
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses281 / 378
Whale WR (big bets)61%
Est. fees paid−$1,091
Open positions1
Markets (closed)659 / 660
History coverage69d
Avg bet$121
Trades / day15.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 659 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$42
7 days−$180
14 days−$1,132
30 days−$2,170
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner 9z 52¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season Kaufland Hangry Knights 29¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner DN SOOPers 40¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
LoL: VfB eSports vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season VfB eSports 21¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5) Team Liquid 60¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A NRG 54¢ 0¢ $149 $0 −$149 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 46¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TDK vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs OG 11¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner Kiwoom DRX 24¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs Solary 24¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 DN SOOPers 18¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
LoL: RMD Gaming vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season RMD Gaming 72¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 8¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner Shifters 31¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner 3DMAX 61¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles Arizona Diamondbacks 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Team WE 19¢ 0¢ $137 $0 −$137 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 58¢ 0¢ $652 $0 −$652 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A B8 11¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner Leo Team 31¢ 0¢ $153 $0 −$153 (-100%)
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winner Oh My God 54¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Anyones Legend 61¢ 0¢ $181 $0 −$181 (-100%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs BIG - Game 2 Winner BIG 32¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 Top Esports 31¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 BNK FearX Youth 43¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $28 +$16 +57%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $32 +$16 +51%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $23 +$10 +41%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $14 −$14 -98%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $30 −$15 -50%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $13 −$13 -99%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $25 +$18 +74%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $18 +$7 +37%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $11 +$17 +149%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $22 −$22 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $19 −$19 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $39 −$38 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $30 +$28 +95%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $33 −$32 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $27 +$35 +128%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $40 +$28 +71%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $40 −$39 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $36 −$35 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $28 +$37 +128%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $50 +$29 +58%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $36 −$35 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $73 +$32 +43%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $30 +$44 +148%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $57 −$56 -99%
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $13 −$13 -98%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 08 $21 +$32 +156%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $30 −$30 -98%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $26 −$26 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $92 −$91 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 08 $8 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 08 $6 +$6 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 08 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 08 $7 +$6 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 08 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 08 $9 +$4 +44%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $43 −$43 -99%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $58 +$25 +43%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $82 −$80 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $59 −$58 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $166 −$164 -99%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $44 +$271 +614%
Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5) Jun 05 $122 −$120 -98%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $51 −$50 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $201 +$65 +32%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $304 +$98 +32%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $31 −$30 -98%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs MANA eSports - Map 1 Winner Jun 05 $91 +$48 +53%
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 Winner Jun 05 $24 +$16 +66%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $101 +$74 +73%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$3,395
other 1% −$729
crypto 0% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 52¢ $36 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $44 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 63¢ $28 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL TheMongolz 99¢ $49 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 65¢ $32 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL Monte 100¢ $33 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 70¢ $23 4h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner BUY illwill 34¢ $14 8h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL Gen.G 68¢ $15 8h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 69¢ $30 8h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 51¢ $13 17h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Liquid 99¢ $43 17h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 56¢ $25 18h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Liquid 100¢ $25 18h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 72¢ $18 19h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL Spirit 99¢ $28 19h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 39¢ $11 19h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 30¢ $22 2d
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 32¢ $19 2d
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 47¢ $39 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 99¢ $58 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $30 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 46¢ $33 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 100¢ $63 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 43¢ $27 2d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner SELL TheMongolz 99¢ $68 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 41¢ $40 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $36 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $65 2d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 57¢ $40 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 -14.4% -22.5% 46% 46% -25.7%
≤30d 227 -4.0% -13.1% 48% 48% -15.0%
≤90d 659 -7.4% -16.2% 43% 42% -14.2%
all 659 -7.4% -16.2% 43% 42% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.2% 42% -14.2%
10% -24.2% 41% -22.4%
15% -31.6% 37% -29.9%
20% -38.3% 30% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.03 · official $0.03 (match) · 1171 history records