Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:15:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x923b…c5da
crypto · 1328 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$424 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$424 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$424
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses807 / 521
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1328 / 1328
History coverage18d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day157.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1328 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$21
14 days−$171
30 days−$424
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? No 2¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-73%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$18 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$6 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$6 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$6 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$4 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$5 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$425
weather 0% −$2
politics 0% +$4
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $17 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $6 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $11 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $8 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $6 36m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 869 +1.2% -8.4% 64% 64% -10.7%
≤30d 1328 -3.9% -13.0% 61% 59% -19.7%
≤90d 1328 -3.9% -13.0% 61% 59% -19.7%
all 1328 -3.9% -13.0% 61% 59% -19.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover157.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.0% 59% -19.7%
10% ← realistic here -21.4% 48% -27.4%
15% -29.0% 33% -34.4%
20% -35.9% 22% -40.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.27 · official $0.27 (match) · 3500 history records