trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Dec 01 | $9 | +$1,311 | +13807% |
| Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair? | Nov 29 | $2 | +$459 | +29970% |
| Will Verona win the 2025–26 Serie A league? | Nov 29 | $2 | +$447 | +20322% |
| Will Blue Prince win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | Nov 24 | $79 | $0 | +0% |
| Will The Outer Worlds 2 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | Nov 24 | $95 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sam Altman be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Nov 22 | $6 | +$105 | +1665% |
| Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair? | Nov 20 | $4 | +$48 | +1288% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 7 | +1279.0% | +1147.6% | 71% | 71% | +181.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +1147.6% | 71% | +181.6% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +1028.2% | 71% | +154.6% |
| 15% | +919.2% | 71% | +130.0% |
| 20% | +819.3% | 71% | +107.5% |