Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:14:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x9288…8648
crypto · 316 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$81 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized+$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses157 / 166
Open positions1
Markets (closed)323 / 316
History coverage143d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day22.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 323 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days+$112
14 days+$112
30 days+$110
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 72¢ 100¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+38%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 32¢ 32¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 89¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 65¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+54%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 87¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+15%)
Solana Up or Down - January 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 40¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+151%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 88¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 59¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+69%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +70%
Solana Up or Down - January 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +229%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$2 +886%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$3 +927%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -268%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$4 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$4 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-0.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 170 +20.3% +8.8% 58% 48% -1.8%
≤30d 172 +20.2% +8.8% 58% 48% -2.2%
≤90d 172 +20.2% +8.8% 58% 48% -2.2%
all 323 +9.8% -0.7% 49% 33% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.7% 33% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -10.2% 25% -18.1%
15% -18.9% 20% -26.0%
20% -26.8% 16% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.78 · official $7.80 · 3500 history records