Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:06:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x928d…52a7
sports · 38 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$43 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$43 · open −$29
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$43
Unrealized−$29
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses12 / 25
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)37 / 38
History coverage156d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit55%
Chart Positions 1 History 37 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$5
14 days−$5
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Yes 67¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-99%)
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-01-28? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Miami vs. Ole Miss Ole Miss 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-01-27? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
CA River Plate vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 2.5 Over 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Ducks vs. Flames Flames 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will CA Unión win on 2026-01-22? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-23? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 Over 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-17? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-01-26? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Clippers vs. Raptors Raptors 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) 49ers 28¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Heat vs. Suns Suns 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Patriots vs. Broncos Broncos 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Kings vs. Red Wings Red Wings 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Score Yes 36¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-01-29? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $6 −$5 -98%
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-01-29? Jan 30 $25 −$25 -100%
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Score Jan 29 $15 −$15 -100%
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-01-28? Jan 29 $15 −$15 -100%
CA River Plate vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 2.5 Jan 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28? Jan 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-01-27? Jan 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Kings vs. Red Wings Jan 28 $3 −$3 -100%
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Talleres: O/U 2.5 Jan 27 $5 +$7 +133%
Magic vs. Cavaliers Jan 27 $5 +$5 +108%
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26? Jan 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-01-26? Jan 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Ducks vs. Flames Jan 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Heat vs. Suns Jan 26 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) Jan 26 $10 +$13 +127%
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-01-25? Jan 26 $2 +$3 +104%
Patriots vs. Broncos Jan 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Score Jan 25 $6 +$8 +143%
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5 Jan 25 $5 +$6 +110%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24? Jan 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-23? Jan 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Will CA Unión win on 2026-01-22? Jan 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Ferencvárosi TC vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 1.5 Jan 22 $11 +$28 +257%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 Jan 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) Jan 18 $9 −$9 -100%
Bills vs. Broncos Jan 18 $20 +$30 +150%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17? Jan 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-17? Jan 17 $15 −$2 -14%
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-17? Jan 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17? Jan 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Clippers vs. Raptors Jan 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Patriots (-3.5) Jan 13 $4 +$5 +127%
Spread: Eagles (-4.5) Jan 12 $7 +$7 +100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11? Jan 12 $10 +$13 +127%
Packers vs. Bears Jan 11 $10 +$9 +89%
Miami vs. Ole Miss Jan 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08? Jan 08 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 55% +$29
other 45% −$101
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 67¢ $29 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 32¢ $6 6h
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-01-29? BUY Yes 34¢ $25 135d
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 36¢ $15 135d
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-01-28? BUY Yes 29¢ $15 136d
CA River Plate vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 49¢ $5 136d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28? BUY Yes 34¢ $5 136d
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-01-27? BUY Yes 38¢ $5 137d
Kings vs. Red Wings BUY Red Wings 31¢ $3 137d
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Talleres: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $13 137d
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Talleres: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $5 137d
Magic vs. Cavaliers SELL Cavaliers 100¢ $10 138d
Magic vs. Cavaliers BUY Cavaliers 48¢ $5 138d
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26? BUY Yes 19¢ $5 138d
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-01-26? BUY Yes 28¢ $5 138d
Ducks vs. Flames BUY Flames 49¢ $2 139d
Heat vs. Suns BUY Suns 29¢ $3 139d
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) SELL Seahawks 100¢ $23 139d
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-01-25? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 139d
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-01-25? BUY Yes 49¢ $2 139d
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) BUY Seahawks 44¢ $10 139d
Patriots vs. Broncos BUY Broncos 34¢ $3 139d
Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $13 139d
Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 41¢ $6 139d
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 99¢ $11 140d
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 47¢ $5 140d
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24? BUY Yes 22¢ $2 140d
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-23? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 141d
Will CA Unión win on 2026-01-22? BUY Yes 18¢ $5 142d
Ferencvárosi TC vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $39 142d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-30.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 37 -22.7% -30.1% 32% 32% -23.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -30.1% 32% -23.3%
10% -36.8% 32% -30.7%
15% -42.9% 32% -37.4%
20% -48.5% 32% -43.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.22 · official $12.99 · 51 history records