Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:18:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x92a0…e52a
crypto · 25 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$7 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses12 / 13
Open positions0
Markets (closed)25 / 25
History coverage1d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day107.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 25 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$10
14 days−$10
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$3 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$8 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $71 −$15 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $43 +$7 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$8 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $66 +$16 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$11 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $82 +$18 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $7 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $50 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-25.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -17.5% -25.3% 48% 32% -11.2%
≤30d 25 -17.5% -25.3% 48% 32% -11.2%
≤90d 25 -17.5% -25.3% 48% 32% -11.2%
all 25 -17.5% -25.3% 48% 32% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover107.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.3% 32% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -32.5% 24% -19.7%
15% -39.0% 8% -27.4%
20% -45.0% 8% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 115 history records