Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:05:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x92a1…745a
crypto · 1650 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$272 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$308 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$308
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses776 / 872
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1648 / 1650
History coverage66d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day28.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 1 History 1648 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$96
7 days−$96
14 days−$96
30 days−$100
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Neil Saravanamuttoo win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+116%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +90%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +65%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$4 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +86%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +79%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$288
other 6% −$20
politics 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 87 -40.0% -45.7% 32% 32% -44.0%
≤30d 565 -6.4% -15.3% 50% 50% -15.3%
≤90d 1648 -6.8% -15.7% 47% 47% -15.5%
all 1648 -6.8% -15.7% 47% 47% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.7% 47% -15.5%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 47% -23.6%
15% -31.1% 47% -31.0%
20% -37.9% 46% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.76 · official $1.76 (match) · 3500 history records