Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T14:30:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
92 0x92b3…9cd3 sports 10 markets active 2h ago coverage 10d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$557 (-30%) realized −$557 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -70% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -73% what you keep after slip
Net edge-73%after slip
Net WR10%break-even
Win rate10%1W / 9L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$189per market
Trades / day2.7pace
Fees−$13est.
Kalshi-fit80%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$321
14 days−$561
30 days−$561
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 95% −$472
other 5% −$89
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-72.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -49.9% -54.6% 17% 17% -27.3%
≤30d 10 -69.9% -72.8% 10% 10% -36.6%
≤90d 10 -69.9% -72.8% 10% 10% -36.6%
all 10 -69.9% -72.8% 10% 10% -36.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -72.8% 10% -36.6%
10% -75.4% 10% -42.7%
15% -77.8% 10% -48.2%
20% -79.9% 10% -53.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 100% · top 2 100% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -30% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -70% · $-wt -30% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$123 vs −$76 · ×1.62 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.18 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$557
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)10%
Wins / losses1 / 9
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions0
Markets (closed)10 / 10
History coverage10d
Avg bet$189
Trades / day2.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 10 Trades
no open positions (8 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Portugal (-5.5) Jun 23 $1,073 −$2 -0%
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 22 $122 −$120 -98%
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score Jun 22 $122 +$123 +101%
Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 0.5 Jun 20 $122 −$120 -98%
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 18 $103 −$102 -99%
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $101 −$100 -98%
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score Jun 16 $82 −$81 -99%
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $71 −$70 -98%
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $50 −$49 -98%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $41 −$40 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Portugal (-5.5) SELL Uzbekistan 96¢ $119 1h
Spread: Portugal (-5.5) BUY Uzbekistan 96¢ $119 1h
Spread: Portugal (-5.5) SELL Uzbekistan 96¢ $119 1h
Spread: Portugal (-5.5) BUY Uzbekistan 96¢ $119 1h
Spread: Portugal (-5.5) SELL Uzbekistan 96¢ $119 1h
Spread: Portugal (-5.5) BUY Uzbekistan 96¢ $119 1h
Spread: Portugal (-5.5) SELL Uzbekistan 96¢ $119 1h
Spread: Portugal (-5.5) BUY Uzbekistan 96¢ $119 1h
Spread: Portugal (-5.5) SELL Uzbekistan 96¢ $119 1h
Spread: Portugal (-5.5) BUY Uzbekistan 96¢ $119 1h
Spread: Portugal (-5.5) SELL Uzbekistan 96¢ $119 1h
Spread: Portugal (-5.5) BUY Uzbekistan 96¢ $119 1h
Spread: Portugal (-5.5) SELL Uzbekistan 96¢ $119 1h
Spread: Portugal (-5.5) BUY Uzbekistan 96¢ $119 1h
Spread: Portugal (-5.5) SELL Uzbekistan 95¢ $119 1h
Spread: Portugal (-5.5) BUY Uzbekistan 96¢ $120 1h
Spread: Portugal (-5.5) SELL Uzbekistan 96¢ $120 1h
Spread: Portugal (-5.5) BUY Uzbekistan 96¢ $120 1h
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 50¢ $122 27h
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 49¢ $122 37h
Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 0.5 BUY Over 50¢ $122 2d
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $103 5d
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5 BUY Under 51¢ $101 6d
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $82 7d
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $71 8d
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 22¢ $50 8d
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $41 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 28 history records