Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x92bb…1afb
other · 113 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$92 · open +$24
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$61
Realized−$92
Unrealized+$24
Win rate (resolved)9%
Wins / losses48 / 499
Open positions32
Markets (closed)547 / 113
History coverage23d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day153.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit52%
Chart Positions 32 History 547 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$139
7 days−$123
14 days−$120
30 days−$92
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes 0¢ 2¢ $1 $12 +$11 (+1450%)
Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $6 $9 +$3 (+50%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $6 $9 +$3 (+50%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+50%)
Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+50%)
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+50%)
Will Walmart acquire TikTok? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $1 $3 +$3 (+500%)
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+100%)
Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $2 +$1 (+50%)
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+50%)
Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+200%)
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 +$1 (+100%)
Will Moonshot have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+50%)
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+50%)
Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Partido Democrático Trabalhista (PDT) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+900%)
Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+50%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 250M by May 1? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in the United States? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Solana dip to $30 in March? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 29% +$43
crypto 25% +$8
tech 24% +$23
world 11% −$14
economics 6% +$10
politics 5% +$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 14m
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 29m
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 45m
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.25T and 1.50T? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 51m
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be less than 1.25T? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 52m
Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be less than 1.25T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.25T and 1.50T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-73.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 493 -82.2% -83.9% 5% 4% -39.9%
≤30d 547 -70.8% -73.5% 9% 8% -25.8%
≤90d 547 -70.8% -73.5% 9% 8% -25.8%
all 547 -70.8% -73.5% 9% 8% -25.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover153.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -73.5% 8% -25.8%
10% ← realistic here -76.1% 7% -32.9%
15% -78.4% 7% -39.4%
20% -80.5% 7% -45.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $61.42 · official $61.42 (match) · 3500 history records