Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:36:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x92bf…f3f5
crypto · 1897 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$172 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$171 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$171
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses884 / 1033
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1917 / 1897
History coverage26d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day96.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit69%
Chart Positions 1 History 1917 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$331
7 days−$290
14 days−$170
30 days−$171
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-93%)
BNB Up or Down - May 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 70% +$152
other 30% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 22m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 5d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 5d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 5d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-19.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 377 -70.2% -73.0% 16% 16% -70.8%
≤30d 1917 -11.0% -19.4% 46% 46% -15.0%
≤90d 1917 -11.0% -19.4% 46% 46% -15.0%
all 1917 -11.0% -19.4% 46% 46% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover96.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.4% 46% -15.0%
10% ← realistic here -27.1% 46% -23.2%
15% -34.2% 45% -30.6%
20% -40.6% 43% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.05 · official $0.05 (match) · 3500 history records