Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:28:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x92c8…ebd8
crypto · 293 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,845 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$814 · open +$40
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$172
Realized+$814
Unrealized+$40
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses249 / 42
Open positions5
Markets (closed)291 / 293
History coverage10d
Avg bet$48
Trades / day303.6
Drawdown23%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 291 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days+$225
14 days+$814
30 days+$814
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET Up 78¢ 100¢ $125 $160 +$35 (+28%)
Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31? No 1¢ 6¢ $1 $6 +$5 (+490%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET Up 79¢ 64¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-20%)
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election? No 20¢ 44¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+120%)
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $7.00 on June 30, 2026? Yes 1¢ 5¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+380%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $206 +$19 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $46 +$8 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET Jun 14 $60 +$15 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $59 +$6 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $88 +$7 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $28 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $95 +$10 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $44 +$7 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Jun 14 $223 −$223 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $37 +$3 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $16 +$4 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $23 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $28 +$3 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $62 +$13 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET Jun 13 $265 +$25 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$4 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET Jun 13 $147 +$18 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $92 +$8 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $49 +$6 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $47 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $37 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $128 +$22 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $39 +$6 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $63 +$7 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $136 +$19 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$2 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$847
other 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 159 +1.2% -8.4% 89% 55% -7.0%
≤30d 291 -0.7% -10.2% 86% 52% -4.3%
≤90d 291 -0.7% -10.2% 86% 52% -4.3%
all 291 -0.7% -10.2% 86% 52% -4.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover303.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 52% -4.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 7% -13.4%
15% -26.6% 1% -21.8%
20% -33.8% 1% -29.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $171.63 · official $171.63 (match) · 3500 history records