Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:38:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x92cb…b04a
crypto · 2016 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$945 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$665 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized+$665
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses783 / 547
Open positions10
Markets (closed)1330 / 2016
History coverage8d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day356.9
Drawdown43%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 10 History 1330 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$250
7 days+$516
14 days+$665
30 days+$665
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 53¢ 70¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+33%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 49¢ 55¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+10%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 53¢ 57¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+8%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 74¢ 70¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 56¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 75¢ 50¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-32%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 85¢ 81¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 30¢ 22¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 43¢ 16¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-62%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% +$1,114
other 5% +$43
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 4m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 6m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 11m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 12m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 15m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 16m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)+28.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1204 +37.8% +24.6% 58% 51% +10.2%
≤30d 1330 +41.4% +28.0% 59% 52% +14.0%
≤90d 1330 +41.4% +28.0% 59% 52% +14.0%
all 1330 +41.4% +28.0% 59% 52% +14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover356.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +28.0% 52% +14.0%
10% ← realistic here +15.7% 50% +3.1%
15% +4.5% 49% -6.9%
20% -5.7% 48% -16.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.97 · official $13.17 (match) · 3500 history records