Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:13:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x92d7…2cbf
crypto · 248 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$3 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses133 / 115
Open positions0
Markets (closed)248 / 248
History coverage20d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day21.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 248 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$31
14 days−$33
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$3 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $0 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 109 -13.3% -21.6% 49% 46% -21.9%
≤30d 248 +0.4% -9.2% 54% 48% -11.3%
≤90d 248 +0.4% -9.2% 54% 48% -11.3%
all 248 +0.4% -9.2% 54% 48% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.2% 48% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 44% -19.8%
15% -25.8% 33% -27.5%
20% -33.1% 23% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 596 history records