Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:39:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x92d7…2c5a
crypto · 1011 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$51 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$49 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$49
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses599 / 419
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1018 / 1011
History coverage10d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day147.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1018 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days−$28
14 days−$49
30 days−$49
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$37
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 689 +0.4% -9.1% 59% 58% -11.0%
≤30d 1018 +0.1% -9.5% 59% 58% -11.1%
≤90d 1018 +0.1% -9.5% 59% 58% -11.1%
all 1018 +0.1% -9.5% 59% 58% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover147.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 58% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 57% -19.6%
15% -26.0% 57% -27.4%
20% -33.3% 38% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records